Tuesday, November 30, 2004

SEMI Consensus Forecast : Press Release Data

Data from the SEMI Member Consensus Forecast was delivered in a press release today. One part of the release is shown in the table below. This press release, from what I recall, is the first that SEMI has issued containing a breakout of the equipment market by segment. After you have a look at this table I'm sure you'll be asking yourself the same question I am right now: "If this forecast is accurate will it be good enough to move equipment company share prices higher?"
Forecast by Equipment Segment
Equipment Type 2003 Actual $B 2004 $B % Chng 2005 $B % Chng 2006 $B % Chng 2007 $B % Chng
Wafer Process $14.75 $23.93 62.24% $23.17 -3.18% $23.88 3.06% $27.34 14.49%
Assembly & Packaging 1.67 2.38 42.51% 2.04 -14.29% 2.26 10.64% 2.83 25.39%
Total Test 4.12 6.22 50.97% 5.64 -9.32% 5.61 -0.53% 6.32 12.66%
Other Front End 1.65 2.78 68.48% 2.64 -5.04% 2.77 4.92% 3.12 12.64%
Total Equipment* $22.19 $35.31 59.13% $33.49 -5.15% $34.52 3.07% $39.61 14.76%
Today I've been rounding up the recent Chart Watch data, which contains the most recent update from SEMI's SEMS data package. That series of charts Subscribers follow on a regular basis will be updated this evening.

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